labor-compression The Productivity Paradox: When AI Helps Everyone Equally AI boosts productivity most for junior workers, not experts—a surprising twist that reshapes how we think about knowledge work and career progression. Is your role becoming "collapsable" or uniquely valuable?
AI-adoption Your First AI Win Should Take 30 Minutes The fastest way to find out whether AI helps you is a 30-minute experiment on the task you hate most. A list, a test, and a reason to share the result.
AI Lies, Lies, and Statistics: The Five Ways AI Gets Things Wrong Hallucination is one of five ways AI output misleads. Commission, omission, perspective, bias, and frame of reference each require a different defense.
AI The 2x2 AI Impact Matrix: What to Do Based on Where You Are Two questions decide what to do about AI for any role: how much time does AI actually compress, and is demand or execution the constraint? The four combinations produce four different prescriptions, and applying the wrong one is expensive.
AI Two Ways AI Changes Your Job: Demand-Limited vs. Collapsable Tasks Jobs are bundles of tasks, and AI hits the bundle unevenly. Demand-limited tasks call for role evolution and collapsable tasks call for role redefinition. Confusing the two is a reliable path to the wrong investment.
AI Why Now: The Capability-Cost Inflection Point Hype is a poor discriminator: every real technological revolution arrived with a bubble attached. What separates AI from Web3 and the metaverse is the capability and cost evidence, and that evidence is already on the books.
AI-adoption The AI Adoption Maturity Ladder: Which Rung Are You On? Most organizations sit on rung two of the AI adoption ladder and believe they are on rung three. The gap matters because the interventions that work at each rung differ, and the most reliable diagnostic is what happens when AI fails.
AI Labor Compression: The Right Economic Frame for AI Replacement is the wrong frame for AI and the workforce. Labor compression, the reduction of hours required per role, turns a binary fear into the strategic question that matters: what happens to the freed capacity?
AI Not That GPT: AI as a Generally Productive Technology Economists were using the acronym GPT decades before OpenAI. Reading AI as a general purpose technology, in the lineage of electricity and the internet, changes the questions leaders should ask and the time they have to ask them.