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AI Economics

A collection of 3 posts
Stacked bar chart comparing cost per solved bug-fix task across Sonnet 4.6, Opus 4.8, and Fable 5, broken down by harness phase
AI Economics

Not Every Ticket Needs the $250,000 Engineer

You match engineer seniority to the work. Model tiers deserve the same discipline: benchmark, cost, and task duration, priced per solved task with real measured cache rates. The teams skipping that math are paying staff-engineer rates for intern work.
17 Jun 2026 8 min read
Economic Forecasting

Seventy Years of Technology Hype: What Failed Predictions Tell Us About the AI Economic Boom

Tech hype cycles repeat: past predictions of a "paperless office" or "end of work" fell flat, and today's AI forecasts likely face similar challenges. Learn what history can teach us about tempering expectations for the AI economic boom.
13 Jun 2026 16 min read
Line chart of daily API spend by model tier showing a new frontier model spiking to roughly $1,300 a day within 48 hours of release
AI Economics

The Meter Picks the Winners

Model selection, problem selection, and the economics underneath them are going to pick the winners and losers of the agentic era. The meter is just the scorekeeper.
12 Jun 2026 10 min read
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